For Immediate Release
August 2nd, 2023
For additional information, please contact:
Ms. Charlene Chen
The American Chamber of Commerce in South China
Tel: 86-20-8335-1476 ext. 33
AmCham South China Study - Business Confidence in China Rising, Increases in Investment Plans Observed.
GUANGZHOU, CHINA – August 2nd, 2023 – The American Chamber of Commerce in South China (AmCham South China) today released its 2023 Mid-Year Report on Impact of COVID Policy Change. The study shows slow but steady improvement in business sentiment, investments, and activities in the first half of 2023.
Dr. Harley Seyedin, President of AmCham South China, winner of 2017 Oslo Business for Peace Award (together with Elon Musk, Durreen Shahnaz and Murad Al-Katib), which is awarded by an Award Committee of Nobel Laureates in Peace and Economics, said, “Our study shows China is on the road to slow but steady recovery and, as in the past, will be a major contributor to the global economic growth.”
The Mid-Year study offers a comparison of data with AmCham South China’s annual study, the 2023 Special Report on the State of Business in South China, released earlier this year on February 27. The gathering of data for the annual study had been completed by December 15, 2022, shortly before China ended its “Zero-COVID” policy. Therefore, that data had not been impacted by immediate emotional reaction to the policy change. As a result, this Mid-Year study offered us a unique opportunity to assess decisions made by businesses impacting various aspects including revenues, business operations, reinvestment plans, and business environment within the six months after the change in the Zero Covid Policy. Both publications are available at http://www.amcham-southchina.com/amcham/static/publications/publications.jsp
The 2023 Mid-Year Report paints a hopeful picture of business operation in China, with 92% of the companies studied reporting full or partial recovery. Nearly half of companies experience significant or slight increases in revenue in the first quarter of 2023, including 64% of Chinese companies and 38% of American companies. 45% of American companies experience 1% to 15% revenue losses caused by cancellation and relocation of orders in the second half of 2022 due to expectations that the Zero Covid policy would continue into 2023. American losses were higher than that of Chinese and other companies.
After the abandonment of “zero-COVID” policy, China’s economy has been on track to recovery as impacts from the pandemic has continued to gradually wane and consumer market continues to slowly bounce back. China’s second-quarter gross domestic product released on Monday July 17, 2023, by China National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed growth at 6.3%. GDP grew at a 0.8% pace from the first quarter, slower than the 2.2% quarter-on-quarter pace reported in the first quarter. NBS statistics show a slower than expected but steady growth, which is also reflected in the AmCham South China’s 2023 Mid-Year Study.
60% of companies remain positive towards the business outlook in China, including 57% of American companies. U.S. businesses show stronger confidence in the Chinese market, up by 4% compared with the sentiment prior to China’s reopening. While 75% of American companies expect no change in their budgeted reinvestment plans, 25% plan to increase their reinvests in various size projects. This includes a 1% increase in reinvestment plans for projects involving US$250 million or more. This proportion was zero at the end of 2022 before China ended its “Zero-COVID” policy.
Key Takeaways of the 2023 Mid-Year Report on Impact of COVID Policy Change:
2023 Mid-Year Report on Impact of COVID Policy Change
The 2023 Mid-Year Report on Impact of COVID Policy Change is a quantitative study of decisions made by businesses impacting various aspects including revenues, business operations, reinvestment plans, and business environment, within the six months after the change in the “Zero-COVID” policy. AmCham’s member and non-member companies participated in AmCham’s State of Business study, results of which were garnered and edited into a separate publication. This report provides constructive suggestions for enterprises in terms of future development strategy and investment layout in the post-pandemic era.
This documents can be downloaded free of charge from the chamber’s website at http://www.amcham-southchina.com/amcham/static/publications/publications.jsp
About the American Chamber of Commerce in South China
The American Chamber of Commerce in South China (AmCham South China) is a non-partisan, non-profit organization dedicated to facilitating bilateral trade between the United States and the People’s Republic of China. Accredited in 1995 by the US Chamber of Commerce in Washington DC, AmCham South China represents more than 2,300 corporate and individual members, is governed by a fully-independent Board of Governors elected from its membership, and provides dynamic, on-the-ground support for American and international companies doing business in South China. Over the past decade, AmCham South China has hosted on average each year more than 10,000 business executives and government leaders from around the world at its briefings, seminars, committee meetings and social gatherings. All AmChams in China are independently governed and represent member companies in their respective regions.